Which of the following best fits in the… | [국회직 8급 영어] 21년 1회차 기출문제 상세 페이지

Which of the following best fits in the blank?
In the early years of Christianity, Easter was the main holiday; the birth of Jesus was not celebrated. In the fourth century, church officials decided to declare the birth of Jesus as a holiday. Unfortunately, the Bible does not mention date for his birth (a fact Puritans later pointed out in order to deny the legitimacy of the celebration). Although some evidence suggests that his birth _______________ in the spring (why would shepherds be herding in the middle of winter?), Pope Julius I chose December 25. It is commonly believed that the church chose this date in an effort to adopt and absorb the traditions of the pagan Saturnalia festival.

may have occurred

might not occur

should occur

ought not occur

could not have occurred

빈칸에는 “may have occurred”(일어났을지도 모른다)가 알맞다.
“some evidence suggests”는 과거 사건인 예수의 탄생에 대한 추측을 나타내므로 may have p.p.가 맞는다. 봄이었을 가능성과 교황이 정한 12월 25일이 “Although”로 대비된다.
“might not occur”: 과거 사건을 나타내지 못하고, 봄 출생 가능성을 제시하는 문맥과도 어긋난다.
“should occur”: 당위나 현재·미래의 일을 나타내 과거 사건 추측에 맞지 않는다.
“ought not occur”: 금지·당위의 뜻이라 문맥에 맞지 않고, ought not to 형태여야 한다.
“could not have occurred”: “일어났을 리 없다”는 뜻으로, 근거가 봄 출생을 시사한다는 내용과 모순된다.